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Publications

Research

  • Central bank transparency under adaptive learning
Journal of Macroeconomics, Volume 88, 2026, 103755. 
 
  • Can Heterogeneous Expectations New Keynesian Models Match the Dispersion of Survey Forecasts, with Fabio Milani.
Economics Letters, Volume 263, May 2026, 112909. 
Working papers
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  • Do Economic Conditions Matter for Inflation Expectations? Survey Evidence. (R&R
    in Economic Modelling)
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  • Information Frictions: Learning and Inattention in an Estimated New Keynesian Model. (R&R in Macroeconomic Dynamics)
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  • Housing Price Bubbles and Macroprudential Policies, an Adaptive Learning Approach (with Luis Esteban Maldonado, Amazon, and Marzio Bassanin, Bank of England)
Work in progress
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  • Adaptive Learning, Sentiment, and Forecast Performance (with Rene Zamarripa)
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  • What Do Surveys Tell Us About Heterogeneous Expectations?
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  • Expectations and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from a U.S. Large Bayesian VAR
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  • Heterogenous population and Forward Guidance (with Stephen Cole)

© Carolina Acuña Armenta.

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